November 17, 2025
Taya Foxman
17 November 2025
Commercial, Property, Property Law
The childcare industry is a dynamic sector undergoing constant change and review. Three key developments over the past 12 months have been:
The governments National vision aims to deliver better outcomes for children and includes:
The ACCC review made 8 recommendations to the federal government to improve affordability and access to childcare and recommended the government take a market stewardship role and reconsider its price regulation mechanism due to unintended consequences in the sector between lower disadvantaged areas.
The ACCC found that the federal government’s childcare affordability reforms introduced last year (Cheaper Child Care) reduced the cost for families between 8.8 and 13.8% but the cost of childcare had increased by over 22% over the past 5 years for families and those savings have been absorbed by increase fees yet again.
The key finding was that the government’s policies need to be varied from a one-size-fits-all approach. The federal government has not yet committed to the ACCC recommendations.
Some observers are concerned the sector is close to oversupply however that is not borne out by the statistics on population growth, and the Governments push to continue to support working parents.
Whether it is applications for new licenses, development of new centres, or sale and purchase of existing Centres the ELC and Childcare sector is dynamic and active but also increasingly competitive with the larger corporate groups taking up greater market share!
The Federal government’s funding to support the sector over 4 years from 2024/25 will be around $84 mill (with $18.4 mill p.a. ongoing) and a further $98.4 mill to support children with special needs.
The industry comprises approximately 13,370 businesses with the top 4 ELC operators generating less than 40% of the industry revenue which leaves 60% of the revenue being generated by smaller operators.
One issue for freehold investors is that bank funding has become tighter however there are now second tier lenders who are open to lend and private investors. The Banks currently lending on freehold ELC’s are the CBA, and St George with others tightening their finance criteria.
For the freehold investor ELC’s remain a very good investment in commercial property due to:
a. Excellent income return with long term leases (10 to 15 years with options)
b. The need for centres to meet the NQF standards
c. Operators are underpinned by government subsidies.
d.The growth in population, regional areas and growth corridors in many cities create demand.
A recent report issued by CBRE commented that even in the face of higher interest rates and living costs the sector for investors remains steady and attractive driven by scarcity of new centres being built and rising cost of construction and replacement costs.
CBRE also are of the view that for investors there will be further yield compression as supply decreases and new childcare centres decline. It becomes a matter of limited supply and demand so it is unlikely investors will get yields of 6% in metropolitan areas in cities across Australia.
Investors should also consider that despite the lower yields there are depreciation benefits in acquiring a new centre. Comparing returns elsewhere with the depreciation allowances it can increase the return on investor capital of up to 15-30% once depreciation is factored in.
Many investors are looking solely for a positive cash flow investment and buying a high-quality new centre on traditional borrowing rates with a yield of 5% or 6% will still likely result in positive cash flow which will increase as interest rates reduce, along with the increased capital growth benefits.
The average metropolitan yield is around 5% to 7% with the current average rent per child around $3,000 to $4,000 per child with centres operating with an average 80 and 120 places.
As with any investment there are risks and the devil is in the detail so ensuring you do proper due diligence and have experienced financial legal and property advisors on board to reduce risk.
If the lease is 15 years or more and the landlord requires the tenant to contribute to any of the improvements the Lease may fall outside of the Retail Leases Act 2003 (Vic), and the protections under that Act for the operator/ tenant do not apply.
This varies from State to State so you need to get advice on the Lease whether as a tenant or an investor.
In Victoria, a lease of 15 years or more is not a Retail Lease Act Lease (RLA)lease which means:
Operator/Tenant if it is not a Retail Lease
A good rule of thumb for any tenant is that the occupancy costs should fall ideally within 12% to 22% of the business gross revenue to ensure the business is viable for the operator.
Building and development a childcare centre carries considerable risk and cost…. It is not for the beginner! Knowing what the landlord or their builder will deliver to you as a tenant is critical.
The devil will be in the detail (detailed plans and specifications) and in the agreement.
Often, we see an AFL which has sketch plans attached which is a risk to the tenant as to what will eventually be delivered so we suggest that the AFL provide for detailed specifications as to what a landlord will deliver to the tenant at handover, as far as infrastructure, services and landscaping.
It is the tenant not the landlord that must meet the NQF standards to be approved for operation of the centre, so we suggest the tenant engages its own experts to advise on the plans and process and not solely rely on the landlord /developers plans.
We have been involved in numerous AFL acting for landlord / developers and tenants and know the issues that need to be addressed in an AFL to avoid dispute and disappointment.
The following are the key issues that need to be addressed and considered:
Contracts of sale need to be carefully drawn, and the following are some key matters to consider:
We have over 25 years’ experience and expertise in the ELC sector acting for Investors, Operators and Developers.
We can advise on the sale and purchase of ELC’s and on Pre Lease, Agreement to lease and Lease Agreements as well as company structures, employment Law, partnership, shareholder or JV agreements.
We know the sector and have access to a network of consultants to assist our clients as they may need.
Contact: Robert Toth | Special Counsel | Accredited Commercial Law and Franchise Specialist | robert@sanickilawyers.com.au | Mobile: 0412 67 37 57
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